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INFECTIOUS DISEASE

開始? 結束?

分析：Dr Siddharth Sridhar，臨床微生物及感染學專科醫生 | 翻譯：Helen YC LAW, MediPaper Medical Communications Ltd.| 更新：2020年2月22日  | In: COVID-19, Critical Care Medicine, Infectious Disease, Internal Medicine, Pneumonia, SARS-CoV2

Article Keywords

2019-nCoV, China, corona virus, COVID-19, pneumonia, WARS

English

香港的Covid-19病例每天增加，不免令人恐懼。然而，更具參考價值的分析是「流行病曲線」，它著重這些病例的症狀發作日期，而不是病例發現的日期。

與病例檢測日期不同，症狀發作日期可提供有關社區中病毒傳播的實際流行病學信息。因此，與每日病例數目相比，流行曲線可更全面地了解社區爆發的情況。

在這裡，我利用現有的資訊繪製了60宗Covid-19病例在香港的流行曲線（更新至 22/2/20 ）。我從衛生防護中心的新聞稿中取得症狀發作日期。

歸納出以下重點:

  1. 在農曆新年假期前後，香港已經發生了大規模的本地Covid-19傳播。
  2. Covid-19在香港的爆發是一種流行病，每3至6天出現一次連續的感染週期，接近病毒的平均潛伏期（高峰：28/1-30/1-> 1 / 2-4 / 2-> 7 / 2-8 / 2-> 10 / 2-12 / 2）。
  3. 令人鼓舞的是，儘管香港仍有大量容易受感染的人群，但於上週的高峰傳播規模小於之前的兩週。

下星期將確定這種流行病的發展方向。

衷心感謝衛生防護中心同事的辛勤工作。

抱持希望，佩戴口罩，注意安全。

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Disclaimer

This article is not medical advice. Patients should seek personal assessment by a licenced specialist. Physicians are recommended to read the full publication(s) as cited in the article before making medical decisions. This article does not supersede nor replace the published article(s).

© Copyright 2020 Dr Sridhar Siddharth – COVID-19 in Hong Kong: the end of the beginning?

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https://medi-paper.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Can-a-novel-temporary-and-fully-resorbable-surgical-implant-improve-the-outcome-of-common-hockey-and-soccer-injuries.jpg 1000 1500 Stijn van den Borne, MSc https://medi-paper.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/MediPR-MediPaper-Medical-Communications-Ltd-Healthcare-Writers-Medical-Writers-Medical-Writer-Agency-Hong-Kong-Medical-Writing-Services-Solutions-Quote-醫學寫作-香港-醫學作家香港-medical-PR-public-relations-1030x374.png Stijn van den Borne, MSc2019-04-26 20:05:262019-04-26 20:12:32Can a novel, temporary, and fully resorbable surgical implant improve the outcome of common hockey and soccer injuries?
FDA approved lusutrombopag (Mulpleta, Shionogi Inc.) for thrombocytopenia in adults with chronic liver disease who are scheduled to undergo a medical or dental procedure. More Information.  July 31, 2018.

Lusutrombopag FDA approved for thrombocytopenia in adult chronic liver disease patients

https://medi-paper.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/FDA-approved-lusutrombopag-Mulpleta-Shionogi-Inc.-for-thrombocytopenia-in-adults-with-chronic-liver-disease-who-are-scheduled-to-undergo-a-medical-or-dental-procedure.-More-Information.-July-31-2018-e1537925382959.jpg 1000 1495 News Feed https://medi-paper.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/MediPR-MediPaper-Medical-Communications-Ltd-Healthcare-Writers-Medical-Writers-Medical-Writer-Agency-Hong-Kong-Medical-Writing-Services-Solutions-Quote-醫學寫作-香港-醫學作家香港-medical-PR-public-relations-1030x374.png News Feed2018-08-01 09:21:032018-08-12 16:46:52Lusutrombopag FDA approved for thrombocytopenia in adult chronic liver disease patients
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COVID-19 in Hong Kong: the end of the beginning? Dr Siddharth Sridhar - 2019-nCoV COVID-19 in Hong Kong - the end of the beginning Dr Sridhar Siddharth - Clinical characteristics of patients with 2019-nCoV pneumonia COVID-19 2019-nCoV WuhanOutbreak Pneumonia Updated: Clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19
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